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2024-12-13 04:47:18

EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.South Korea's unemployment rate in November was 2.7%, expected to be 2.7%, and the previous value was 2.70%.Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.


Market information: The murder suspect of CEO of United Health Insurance Business opposes extradition to new york to face charges.The three major European stock indexes closed down across the board. The German DAX index fell 0.08% to 20329.16 points, the French CAC40 index fell 1.14% to 7394.78 points, and the British FTSE 100 index fell 0.86% to 8280.36 points.Market information: Nissan will appoint JÉRÉMIE PAPIN as the chief financial officer on Wednesday.


The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Non-performing loan intermediaries have drawn a clear line between banks to prevent "endorsement". Recently, many banks have issued statements to "clear the relationship" with loan intermediaries. On December 9 alone, many banks, such as Taiyuan Rural Commercial Bank, Chifeng Yuanbaoshan Rural Commercial Bank and Xintian Rural Bank of Xinjiang County, issued statements that they had not cooperated with any intermediary in loan business. The insiders believe that at present, when banks are preparing for a "good start" in the coming year, some banks' grass-roots institutions or account managers privately increase cooperation with loan intermediaries in order to achieve performance indicators. Formal loan intermediaries help banks get customers and live customers, but non-performing loan intermediaries are mixed in the market, and their non-compliance practices make consumer complaints frequent and bring reputation risks to banks. (CSI)Standard & Poor's: Downgrading Intel's rating to BBB, the outlook is stable. The recovery of the company's business activities is slow.

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